Under (45.5) Total Points (Incl. Overtime) — Explained (American Football Betting)
This is a totals (over/under) betting market in National Football League and other American football games.
When you choose Under 45.5, you are betting that the combined total points scored by both teams will be 45 points or fewer, even if the game goes into overtime.
How It Works
- The bookmaker sets a line: 45.5 points
- You pick Under 45.5
- Because it’s .5, there’s no draw/push — you either win or lose
You win if:
- Total points = 45 or less
👉 You lose if:
- Total points = 46 or more
Examples
Winning Bet (Under hits)
- Final Score: 21 – 20
- Total = 41 points
Under 45.5 wins
Losing Bet (Over hits)
- Final Score: 28 – 21
- Total = 49 points
Under 45.5 loses
Close Loss
- Final Score: 24 – 22
- Total = 46 points
Still loses (just 0.5 over!)
Important Note: “Incl. Overtime”
If the game goes to overtime, any points scored in OT count toward the total.
Example:
- End of regular time: 21–21 (42 points)
- Overtime final: 24–21 (45 points)
Under still wins
But:
- If OT ends 27–21 (48 points)
You lose
Betting Tips for Under 45.5
1. Look for Strong Defenses
Teams with elite defenses usually keep scores low.
- Few points allowed per game
- Strong pass rush / secondary
2. Slow Offensive Teams
Some teams play slow-paced football:
- Run-heavy strategy
- Long drives that consume time
This reduces total scoring opportunities
3. Check Weather Conditions
Bad weather = fewer points
- Rain
- Snow
- Strong wind
Passing becomes harder → lower scoring
4. Injury News Matters
- Missing key quarterbacks or wide receivers → fewer points
- Strong defensive line healthy → fewer big plays
5. Line Movement
If the line drops from 47.5 → 45.5, it means:
Money is coming in on the Under
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Ignoring overtime impact
- Betting Under on high-powered offenses (e.g., explosive passing teams)
- Not checking team form (some teams suddenly become high scoring)
Quick Summary
- Under 45.5 = total points must be 45 or less
- Includes overtime points
- Focus on defense, pace, weather, and injuries
- Even 1 extra point can lose your bet

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