12+ | Match Shots Outside the Box (OOB) — Explained
12+ Match Shots Outside the Box means you are betting that both teams combined will produce at least 12 shots taken from outside the penalty area in the match.
- A “shot outside the box” = any attempt at goal taken from outside the 18-yard area, whether it is:
- On target
- Off target
- Blocked
- Deflected
- Saved
As long as the attempt is struck outside the box, it counts.
Why 12+ Shots Outside the Box Happens
Some teams and styles of play naturally produce many outside-box shots:
Teams with:
- A lot of ball possession
- Midfielders who shoot from distance
- Low-block opponents (defenders stay deep → forcing long shots)
- Many blocked shots
- Wingers who cut inside and shoot from range
Example Team: Manchester City
Manchester City are one of the best teams for high outside box shots.
Why Man City suit this bet:
- High possession → opponents defend deep → few spaces inside box
- Midfield shooters like De Bruyne, Foden, Bernardo Silva
- Full-backs and CDMs (Rodri) shoot often from distance
- Opponents block many shots → still counted as OOB attempts
Example Match Scenario
Bet: 12+ Match Shots Outside Box — Man City vs Brentford
Final match stats (example):
- Man City shot OOB: 10
- Brentford shot OOB: 4
- Total: 14 shots outside the box
Your 12+ bet WINS
This is typical because Brentford sit deep, forcing City to shoot from range repeatedly.
Another Example Scenario (Losing Case)
Bet: 12+ OOB — Arsenal vs Burnley
- Arsenal OOB: 6
- Burnley OOB: 3
- Total: 9
Bet LOSES (did not reach 12)
Even attacking teams sometimes find plenty of space inside the box, reducing long-range attempts.
When to Use This Bet (Perfect Situations)
Big team vs Deep-defending team
Example:
- Man City vs Everton
- Arsenal vs Sheffield United
- Real Madrid vs Girona
These teams force 10–15 OOB shots alone.
Midfield-heavy teams
Who love long shots:
- Liverpool (Mac Allister, Szoboszlai, Trent)
- Juventus
- Inter Milan
- Bayern Munich
Games with many blocks
Blocked shots from outside the box still count.
Teams like:
- Crystal Palace
- West Ham
- Brentford
block 10–20 shots per game combined.
Games with expected low space inside the penalty area
Ideal for:
- Slow-tempo possession sides
- Teams with strong centre-backs
- Low-scoring matches
Ideal Team Example for This Market: Arsenal
Arsenal typically produce:
- 8–12 Outside Box Shots per match
- Players who love long shots:
- Martin Ødegaard
- Declan Rice
- Kai Havertz
- Trossard
- Saka (cut inside shots)
Arsenal vs Wolves → easily 12+ OOB shots combined
Arsenal vs Burnley → 13–16 OOB shots likely
Examples of Realistic 12+ OOB Match Outcomes
| Match | OOB Shots | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Man City vs Wolves | 15 | Win |
| Arsenal vs Everton | 12 | Win |
| Barcelona vs Mallorca | 10 | Lose |
| Liverpool vs Bournemouth | 14 | Win |
| Juventus vs Cagliari | 11 | Lose |
Betting Tips for 12+ Shots Outside Box
Tip 1: Check the playing style
Teams that shoot from range = good picks
Teams that dribble into box = bad picks
Tip 2: Look for deep-block opponents
If the opponent defends with:
- 5 defenders
- 2–3 midfielders staying central
→ You will get many long-range shots.
Tip 3: Player absence matters
If creative midfielders are missing (e.g., De Bruyne, Ødegaard):
→ OOB shots may drop.
Tip 4: Weather conditions
- Rainy or slippery pitches increase shot attempts
- Windy games reduce long-range accuracy but still increase attempts
Tip 5: Use In-Play (Live Betting)
If first 20 minutes already has 4–6 OOB shots,
→ 12+ is highly likely.
Simple Summary
12+ Match Shots Outside Box = both teams to make 12 or more long-range attempts in the match.
Best with:
- Man City
- Arsenal
- Liverpool
- Bayern
- Inter
- Real Madrid
Especially when they play defensive opponents.
Leave a Reply