What “11+ | Match Shots Outside the Box” Means

This betting market predicts the total number of shots taken from outside the penalty area by both teams combinedin a match.

• “11+” means 11 or more shots from outside the box must occur for your bet to win.
• If there are 10 or fewer, the bet loses.

Important:
This includes any shot from outside the area:
On target
Off target
Blocked

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How Bookies Count These Shots

A shot outside the box is recorded when a player clearly kicks the ball towards goal from outside the 18-yard area, regardless of power or accuracy.

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Team Example: Manchester City

Let’s use Manchester City because they are known for long-distance shooting from players like De Bruyne, Foden, Silva, and Rodri.

How Man City Typically Contribute to This Market

• They dominate possession → more chances to shoot.
• Opponents defend deep → forces City to shoot from range.
• Midfielders like Rodri & De Bruyne take several shots outside the box every game.

Average Shots Outside the Box (Example Trend)

(Approximate, based on typical team style)

Team	Shots Outside Box per match
Manchester City	8–12
Opponent (mid-table team)	3–6
Combined Expected	11–17

This makes 11+ a realistic target in many Man City games.

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Practical Match Example

Example Match: Man City vs Brentford

Shots outside the box:

Team	SHOT OUTSIDE BOX
Man City	9
Brentford	4
Total	13

Your 11+ bet WINS.

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Example Where It Loses

Match: Man City vs Sheffield United

Team	SHOT OUTSIDE BOX
Man City	7
Sheffield	3
Total	10

Since the total is 10,
11+ bet LOSES.

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When to Bet 11+ Shots Outside the Box

This market is good when:

Teams Face a Deep Defensive Block

If one team defends with 10 men behind the ball, long shots are common.

A Shooting-Team Is Playing

Teams known for shooting from range:

• Man City
• Real Madrid
• Liverpool
• Barcelona
• Napoli
• Arsenal

Both Teams Have High Midfield Activity

Games with strong midfielders = more long shots.

The Match Has Low Space in the Box

Compact matches → long-range attempts increase.

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When to Avoid Betting 11+

Avoid when:

• One or both teams create mostly chances inside the box.
• Match expected to be slow or defensive without many shots.
• Heavy rain (affects shooting accuracy).
• Teams with low long-shot frequency (e.g., Atletico Madrid, Wolves, Burnley).

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Best Betting Tips for 11+ Outside the Box Shots

1. Look at Team Shooting Style

Check if the team regularly shoots from long range.

2. Check Opponent Playing Style

Teams that pack the box force long shots.

3. Use Live Betting

If a match starts with:

• high possession for a big team
• opponent defending very deep
• early long shots

— then 11+ becomes a strong in-play bet.

4. Midfield Player Info

If teams have midfielders who shoot often:

• Kevin De Bruyne
• Bruno Fernandes
• Rodri
• Maddison
• Odegaard
• Valverde

The chances increase.

5. Weather & Pitch Condition

Dry or normal pitches → more shots.
Wet condition → fewer.

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Quick Sample Prediction Breakdown

Barcelona vs Getafe

• Barcelona average: 7 shots outside box
• Getafe average: 4
• Combined expected: 11

This is a high-value 11+ match.

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Summary

11+ | Match Shots Outside the Box means:
Total long-range shots in the match must be 11 or more.

You win if BOTH teams combined reach 11+ long shots, including off target and blocked shots.