What Is Last Goal Scorer in Football Betting?
Last Goal Scorer is a football betting market where you predict which player will score the final goal in a match — regardless of the overall scoreline.
If your selected player scores the last goal before the match ends (including added time but excluding penalty shootouts), your bet wins.
If the player doesn’t score or someone else scores after them, your bet loses.
Example with a Team
Let’s take a Premier League match between Arsenal vs Chelsea.
You place a Last Goal Scorer bet on Bukayo Saka of Arsenal.
Here’s what can happen:
- Scenario 1 (Win):
The match ends Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea, and Saka scores Arsenal’s second (final) goal in the 82nd minute.
→ Your Last Goal Scorer bet wins. - Scenario 2 (Lose):
The match ends Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea, but Gabriel Jesus scores the last goal.
→ Your Last Goal Scorer bet loses. - Scenario 3 (Lose):
The match finishes 0–0.
→ All Last Goal Scorer bets are lost (since no goal was scored).
Key Rules to Remember
- Own Goals don’t count.
If the last goal is an own goal, it’s ignored for betting purposes, and the next valid scorer counts. - Substituted or injured players lose the bet.
If your selected player is subbed off before the final goal is scored, your bet will lose unless he already scored the last goal. - Extra time and penalties may or may not count — depending on your bookmaker.
Always check the terms for “regulation time” or “extra time included.”
Example Odds
| Player | Last Goal Scorer Odds |
|---|---|
| Bukayo Saka | 5.00 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 6.50 |
| Raheem Sterling | 7.00 |
| No Goalscorer | 9.00 |
The higher the odds, the less likely that player is expected to score last — but also the higher the potential return.
Betting Tips for Last Goal Scorer
- Study Substitution Patterns:
Pick players who usually play the full 90 minutes — like midfielders or key forwards — as they have a higher chance of being on the pitch when the last goal is scored. - Consider Impact Substitutes:
Some players, like Diogo Jota (Liverpool) or Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa), often score late goals after coming off the bench. These can be valuable picks at higher odds. - Check Team Form:
Teams that dominate possession or score late in games (like Manchester City or Real Madrid) often provide reliable options for Last Goal Scorer bets. - Avoid Defenders and Defensive Midfielders:
Their chances of scoring late goals are low, making them risky choices. - Look at “No Goalscorer” Option:
In matches likely to end 0–0 (defensive derbies or first-leg knockouts), betting on “No Goalscorer” can offer strong value.
Example Tip
Match: Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Tip: Last Goal Scorer – Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United)
Reason: Bruno often stays on the pitch for 90 minutes, takes penalties, and scores late in tight matches.
Final Thoughts
The Last Goal Scorer market is exciting because a single goal in the final minutes can turn your bet into a winner. However, it’s also unpredictable, so combine player research, form analysis, and