Over 1.5 | Home Team Total Bookings – Explained (Football Betting)

Over 1.5 Home Team Total Bookings is a football betting market where you predict that the home team will receive at least 2 bookings during the match.
Bookings include:

Yellow cards
Red cards (usually counted as 2 bookings in most bookmakers)

For your bet to win:
The home team must record 2 or more booking points/cards — depending on the bookmaker’s system.

How Bookmakers Count Bookings

There are two systems:

1. Card Count (Most Common in Europe & Bet365 Style)

Yellow card = 1 booking
Red card = 2 bookings
Maximum per player = 3 bookings (1 yellow + 1 red)

You win if the home team gets 2+ cards.

2. Booking Points System (Used by SkyBet, William Hill, etc.)

Yellow card = 10 points
Red card = 25 points
Yellow → Red = 35 total (10+25)

You win if the home team collects 20+ booking points.

What Over 1.5 Home Team Total Bookings Means

You are only betting on:

Home team discipline
Referee strictness
Match tension

You are not concerned with:

Scoreline
Away team bookings
Possession
Goals

Team-Based Example (With Team in Detail)

Let’s use Barcelona (Home) vs Atletico Madrid (Away).

You place a bet:

Over 1.5 Home Team Total Bookings – Barcelona

Scenario 1 – Bet Wins

Barcelona receives:

Araujo – yellow
Gavi – yellow

Total = 2 bookings (WIN)

Another winning example:

Lewandowski – yellow
Frenkie de Jong – yellow
Raphinha – red (counts as 2)

Total = 4 bookings (WIN)

Scenario 2 – Bet Loses

Barcelona receives:

Pedri – yellow (1 card only)

Total = 1 booking → LOSE

More Realistic Examples from Common Match Types

Example A: Derby Match – High Tension

Everton (Home) vs Liverpool

Derbies are physical.
Everton receives:

Tarkowski – yellow
Onana – yellow

2 bookings → Bet wins

Example B: Home Team Dominates, Less Fouls

Manchester City (Home) vs Burnley

Man City receives:

Rodri – yellow

Only 1 booking → Bet loses

Example C: Relegation Battle

Nottingham Forest (Home) vs Luton Town

Forest receives:

Niakhaté – yellow
Danilo – yellow
Awoniyi – red

4 bookings → Bet wins

When Over 1.5 Home Team Bookings is a Good Bet

Home Team Plays Aggressive Football

Teams like:

Atletico Madrid
Leeds United
Getafe
Sevilla
Burnley
Wolves

These teams commit many tackles.

Home Team Facing a Strong Opponent

When the home team is dominated, they defend longer → more fouls.

Examples:

Bournemouth hosting Manchester City
Real Sociedad hosting Real Madrid

Referee Known for Many Cards

Some referees average 5–7 cards per match.

This strongly supports Over 1.5.

Derbies and Rivalries

Arsenal vs Tottenham
Roma vs Lazio
Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray
Boca Juniors vs River Plate

These almost always produce multiple cards.

Relegation or Title-Deciding Matches

High stakes → nervous players → more fouls.

When to Avoid This Market

Home team dominates possession

Teams like Man City, Bayern, Barcelona often commit fewer fouls at home.

Referee has a low card average

Some refs average just 2–3 cards per match.

Friendly matches or low-stakes games

Players avoid unnecessary bookings.

Smart Betting Tips for Over 1.5 Home Team Bookings

Check referee card stats

If the referee averages 4.5+ cards, this market becomes strong value.

Study the home team’s foul trends

Look at:

Tackles per game
Fouls per game
Cards per match
Defensive pressure

Teams with high pressing often commit more fouls.

Consider match tension

If the match is crucial, emotions are high → more bookings.

Opponent style matters

A home team defending against:

Liverpool
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich

…usually picks up more cards.

Combine with other markets for higher odds