What is Booking Points in Football?
Booking points refer to the total disciplinary points accumulated in a match based on yellow and red cards. Different bookmakers may assign points like this:
- Yellow card = 10 points
- Red card = 25 points
- Indirect red (second yellow) = 25 points
The Over/Under market allows you to bet whether the total booking points in a match will be over or under a certain number, in this case, 45.5 points.
Understanding Under 45.5 Booking Points
Betting on Under 45.5 booking points means you expect the total disciplinary points in the match to be 44 or fewer. Essentially, you are predicting a clean or relatively calm game with fewer fouls and cards.
Example with a Team
Let’s take Manchester United vs Liverpool as an example:
- Recent stats:
- Manchester United average booking points per match: 20
- Liverpool average booking points per match: 18
- Combined, the expected total = 38 points
- Since 38 < 45.5, betting Under 45.5 looks likely in this scenario.
When to Consider Under 45.5
- Both teams are disciplined and rarely get many cards.
- The match is not a derby or high-tension fixture.
- The referee tends to be lenient with bookings.
- Teams play possession football rather than aggressive pressing.
Tips for Betting Under 45.5 Booking Points
- Check Team Stats: Look at the last 5–10 matches for both teams’ booking points.
- Consider Rivalry: Big rivalries or derbies usually have more cards; avoid Under bets in those games.
- Referee Analysis: Some referees are stricter; check their card averages.
- Game Context: Early-season matches or ones with nothing at stake often have fewer fouls.
- Combine with Other Markets: Under booking points can be combined with Under goals or corners for safer accumulators.
Example Bet Slip:
- Match: Manchester United vs Liverpool
- Market: Booking Points – Under 45.5
- Stake: $50
- Odds: 1.90
- Reason: Both teams are disciplined, average booking points below 45, referee lenient.
Summary:
Betting Under 45.5 booking points is ideal for clean games, disciplined teams, and lenient referees. Always check team stats, rivalry intensity, and referee trends before placing your bet.
