What is “Over 5.5 Goals”?
- In football betting, Over 5.5 goals means you are betting that the total number of goals scored in a match (by both teams combined) will be 6 goals or more.
- If the match ends with 5 goals or fewer, the bet loses.
- Example:
- Manchester City 4 – 2 Arsenal → Total goals = 6 → Over 5.5 wins
- Manchester City 3 – 2 Arsenal → Total goals = 5 → Over 5.5 loses
How to Identify Good Teams for Over 5.5 Goals
You want teams that are:
- Very attacking-oriented – they score a lot of goals per match.
- Weak defensively – they concede many goals.
- High-scoring matches historically – average goals per game around 4+.
- Matches where both teams push for attack, like during cup games or derbies.
Example Team:
- Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
- Known for high-tempo, attacking football.
- Often scores 3+ goals in a match.
- If they play against a team like Bayer Leverkusen, which also scores heavily but defends poorly, it’s ideal for Over 5.5 goals.
Example Scenario
- Match: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen
- Recent matches:
- Dortmund 4–3 Hoffenheim → 7 goals
- Leverkusen 3–2 Wolfsburg → 5 goals
- Dortmund 3–3 Leverkusen → 6 goals
- Observation: Both teams frequently score and concede goals → high probability of Over 5.5.
Betting Tips for Over 5.5 Goals
- Check Average Goals Per Match
- Look at the last 5–10 games for both teams. If both teams average 3+ goals, Over 5.5 is realistic.
- Consider League & Competition
- Some leagues are more attacking (Bundesliga, Eredivisie) → more Over 5.5 opportunities.
- Defensive leagues (Serie A, Ligue 1) → harder to hit Over 5.5.
- Watch Head-to-Head Records
- Some matchups historically produce high-scoring games.
- Avoid Heavy Favorites Against Weak Teams
- Over 5.5 is rare when a strong team plays a very weak team and wins 2–0 or 3–0 consistently.
- Live Betting
- If the match starts 2–2 by 60 minutes, Over 5.5 becomes more likely.
- Be Prepared for High Odds
- Over 5.5 is less common than Over 2.5 or 3.5 → odds can be higher, often 3.50 to 5.00+.
Quick Example Bets
- Dortmund vs Leverkusen → Bet: Over 5.5 goals
- Manchester City vs Liverpool (if both in top attacking form) → Bet: Over 5.5 goals
- Remember: Not every match will hit 6 goals, so stake wisely.