What Does Home/Draw & Over 1.5 Mean?
The Home/Draw & Over 1.5 bet is a combo market combining two conditions:
- Double Chance (Home/Draw):
The home team must either win or draw — they just must not lose the match. - Over 1.5 Goals:
There must be at least 2 total goals scored in the match (by either team).
You win if:
- The home team wins or draws, AND
- The total goals are 2 or more.
You lose if:
- The home team loses, OR
- The match has fewer than 2 goals (0–0 or 1–0).
Example with a Real Team
Let’s use Manchester City vs Aston Villa as our example.
Bet: Home/Draw & Over 1.5 Goals
This means:
- Manchester City must not lose (so City win or draw), and
- There must be at least 2 goals in total.
Example 1 — You WIN:
- Final score: Manchester City 3–1 Aston Villa
City didn’t lose
4 total goals (Over 1.5)
Bet wins
Example 2 — You WIN:
- Final score: Manchester City 2–2 Aston Villa
City didn’t lose (it’s a draw)
4 total goals (Over 1.5)
Bet wins
Example 3 — You LOSE:
- Final score: Manchester City 0–1 Aston Villa
City lost (even though total goals = 1)
Bet loses
Example 4 — You LOSE:
- Final score: Manchester City 1–0 Aston Villa
City didn’t lose
Only 1 total goal (Under 1.5)
Bet loses
Typical Odds
- Odds are usually between 1.50 and 1.90, depending on the teams.
Example:- Manchester City vs Aston Villa — Home/Draw & Over 1.5 = 1.60
- Everton vs Liverpool — Home/Draw & Over 1.5 = 2.00 (riskier)
When to Use the Bet
Use Home/Draw & Over 1.5 when:
- The home team is strong offensively (e.g., Manchester City, Bayern Munich, Real Madrid).
- The opponent can score goals, so total goals are likely 2+.
- You want a safer bet than “Home Win & Over 1.5”, since you’re covered if the match ends in a draw.
Betting Tips
- Check goal stats – Both teams should regularly play in matches with 2+ goals.
Example: If both average over 2.5 total goals per game, that’s ideal. - Avoid defensive teams – Skip games involving teams known for low-scoring draws (e.g., Burnley, Getafe).
- Look at recent form – If the home team often scores 2+ goals at home, this bet becomes safer.
- Check injuries – Make sure key attackers are available (e.g., no Haaland, no bet for City).
- Combine in Accas – This market can be great for accumulator bets because it’s moderately safe with decent odds.
Example Match Analysis
Liverpool vs Brentford
- Liverpool home record: 2.8 goals scored per game.
- Brentford away record: 1.5 goals scored per game.
- Last 5 meetings: All had over 2 goals.
Bet Home/Draw & Over 1.5
Likely won’t lose at Anfield.
Both teams can score = Over 1.5 likely.
Solid value bet.
Summary Table
| Condition | Requirement | Example Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw & Over 1.5 | Home win or draw + ≥2 goals | 3–1 | Win |
| Home/Draw & Over 1.5 | Home win or draw + ≥2 goals | 2–2 | Win |
| Home/Draw & Over 1.5 | Home lose or <2 goals | 0–1 | Lose |
| Home/Draw & Over 1.5 | Home win + <2 goals | 1–0 |