Point Spread in Sports Betting
The point spread is a type of bet used mainly in team sports (like football or basketball) to even the playing field between two teams of different skill levels. Instead of just betting on who will win, the point spread introduces a margin of victory that one team must “cover” for the bet to win.
The spread is expressed as a positive (+) or negative (−) number next to each team.
- Favorite: The team expected to win; assigned a negative (-) point spread.
- Underdog: The team expected to lose; assigned a positive (+) point spread.
The bettor is not just picking who wins, but whether the team covers the spread.
How It Works
- Favorite Team (-):
If a team is -7, it must win by more than 7 points for a bet on them to succeed. - Underdog Team (+):
If a team is +7, it can win outright or lose by less than 7 points for a bet on them to succeed. - Push:
If the favorite wins by exactly the spread (e.g., 7 points in a -7 game), the bet is a tie (push), and your stake is returned.
Example 1: NFL Football
Match: Chiefs vs. Jaguars
Point Spread: Chiefs -6.5, Jaguars +6.5
- Bet on Chiefs (-6.5):
Chiefs must win by 7 points or more for the bet to win. - Bet on Jaguars (+6.5):
Jaguars can either win outright or lose by 6 points or fewer for the bet to win.
If Chiefs win 28–21:
- Point difference = 28 − 21 = 7
- Chiefs cover the spread because 7 > 6.5 → Bet on Chiefs wins.
Example 2: NBA Basketball
Match: Lakers vs. Nets
Point Spread: Lakers -4, Nets +4
- Bet on Lakers (-4):
Lakers must win by more than 4 points. - Bet on Nets (+4):
Nets must win or lose by fewer than 4 points.
If final score is Lakers 102 – 99 Nets:
- Point difference = 3 points
- Lakers do not cover (-4), so bets on Lakers lose.
- Nets cover (+4), so bets on Nets win.
Why Point Spread Exists
- Makes betting more balanced when there’s a clear favorite.
- Encourages bets on both sides, ensuring sportsbooks reduce risk.
- Adds strategy and excitement, as you’re betting not just on who wins, but by how much.
Quick Tips for Betting Point Spreads
- Check team stats: Strong teams may consistently cover the spread.
- Consider injuries: Losing key players can affect point margins.
- Home vs. away: Some teams perform better at home, affecting the spread.