Betting on “Set 2, Game 5 – 4th Point” is one of the most specific and exciting types of in-play tennis betting. It allows punters to predict the outcome of a single point within a particular game of a specific set — in this case, the 4th point of the 5th game in the 2nd set.
Let’s break this down clearly with examples and betting tips
1. Understanding the Market
In tennis, each game consists of a sequence of points — typically up to four or more until one player wins by two clear points (e.g., 40–15 or advantage-in situations).
So when you bet on “Set 2, Game 5 – 4th Point”, you’re predicting who will win that specific point, not the game or set.
For example:
- “Set 2, Game 5 – 4th Point: Player A to win” means you believe Player A will win that single point (the 4th point in Game 5 of Set 2).
2. Example Scenario
Let’s take a match example:
Match: Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz
Current score:
- Set 1: Djokovic 6–4
- Set 2: 2–2 (Game 5 about to start)
- Djokovic to serve in Game 5
You’re betting on the 4th point of this 5th game.
Game flow example:
| Point | Server | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Point | Djokovic | Wins | 15–0 |
| 2nd Point | Djokovic | Loses | 15–15 |
| 3rd Point | Djokovic | Wins | 30–15 |
| 4th Point | Djokovic | You’re betting here |
If you back Djokovic to win the 4th point, your bet wins only if he wins that specific rally.
If Alcaraz wins the point, your bet loses — regardless of the eventual game or set winner.
3. Betting Options for the 4th Point
Depending on your sportsbook, you may see:
- Player to Win Point: Player A or Player B
- Point Outcome Type: (sometimes offered in advanced markets)
- Ace
- Double fault
- Winner
- Unforced error
Example:
Set 2, Game 5 – 4th Point: “Ace” @ 8.00 odds
Set 2, Game 5 – 4th Point: “Double Fault” @ 12.00 odds
4. Factors to Consider Before Betting
- Server Advantage:
- The player serving usually has a higher chance (65–75%) to win a point on serve.
- If a strong server like Djokovic or Isner is serving, betting on them to win the 4th point is safer.
- Pressure Moments:
- If the score is 30–15 or 15–30, the 4th point becomes crucial — players may change tactics.
- Watch for momentum or mental fatigue.
- Player Return Skill:
- Return specialists (like Alcaraz or Medvedev) can break serve even mid-game.
- Consider betting on them to win a specific return point when they have rhythm.
- Surface Type:
- On grass or hard courts, servers dominate (favor the server).
- On clay, longer rallies and more breaks (favor the returner).
5. Example Bet and Outcome
Bet Placed:
Set 2, Game 5 – 4th Point: Djokovic to win @ 1.55
Scenario:
Djokovic serves, Alcaraz hits long → Djokovic wins the point.
Bet Wins
If Alcaraz hit a passing shot to win, Bet Loses
6. Betting Tips
- Watch Live Before Betting:
Observe how the player performs on serve before betting on a single point. - Use Momentum:
If a player just hit multiple winners, they may be “in the zone” — good time to back them. - Avoid Random Bets:
Point-by-point markets move fast. Don’t chase odds without context. - Value in Pressure Points:
If a returner is aggressive on break points, they might win key points more often — even on the 4th point. - Bankroll Management:
Treat point betting as high volatility — stake small (1–2% of bankroll).
Summary Table
| Aspect | Description |
|---|---|
| Market | Set 2, Game 5 – 4th Point |
| Bet Type | Predict who wins that specific point |
| Key Factor | Who’s serving |
| Example | Djokovic to win 4th point vs. Alcaraz |
| Tip | Bet on strong server unless opponent has break pressure |
Final Betting Tip
In “Set 2, Game 5 – 4th Point” betting, back the server when leading, and look for value on the returner if they’re applying consistent pressure or have multiple break chances.