What “Set 2, Game 5 – 3rd Point” Means
In tennis:
- A set is made up of games.
- Each game is made up of points.
- Points progress as: 0 (love) → 15 → 30 → 40 → game (unless deuce occurs).
So, “Set 2, Game 5 – 3rd Point” refers to the third point of the fifth game in the second set.
You’re only betting on who wins that specific point, not the game, set, or match.
Example: Nadal vs. Djokovic
Let’s imagine a match between Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic.
- Current situation:
- Set: 2
- Game: 5
- Server: Djokovic
- Score: 15–15 (two points played)
Now comes the 3rd point — the next rally.
Betting Options:
- Novak Djokovic to win 3rd point @1.65
- Rafael Nadal to win 3rd point @2.20
If Djokovic wins that point (making it 30–15), the bet on Djokovic wins.
If Nadal wins the point (making it 15–30), the bet on Nadal wins.
That’s it — your bet outcome is settled instantly after that single point.
What Affects the Odds?
Bookmakers consider:
- Server advantage – The server wins about 65–70% of points on average.
- Surface type – Clay favors returners more than grass or hard courts.
- Fatigue & momentum – A tired or frustrated player might lose focus on key points.
- Previous point performance – If a player just hit a double fault or ace, odds might adjust slightly.
- Pressure situations – Points at 15–30 or 30–40 are high-pressure and influence confidence.
Example in Action (Live Betting Scenario)
Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner
Set 2, Game 5
Server: Sinner
Current score: 15–15
Bookie offers:
- Sinner to win the 3rd point – 1.58
- Alcaraz to win the 3rd point – 2.30
You bet Alcaraz to win the 3rd point.
Sinner hits a double fault, so Alcaraz wins the point.
You win your bet instantly, even though the game or set continues.
Betting Tips for Point-by-Point Markets
- Follow Live Momentum – Watch how each player’s rhythm changes after every rally. Momentum is key in point betting.
- Know the Server – The server usually has the edge, but second serves or fatigue can change everything.
- Surface Awareness – On clay courts, returners like Nadal or Ruud often win more points than usual.
- Avoid Emotional Bets – Points happen fast; base your choices on statistics, not reactions.
- Watch Player Body Language – Signs of frustration, rushing serves, or heavy breathing can indicate the next point may be lost.
- Use Mini-Streaks – Players often win or lose several points in a row; ride the momentum instead of chasing losses.
Quick Summary Table
| Term | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Set 2 | Second set of the match |
| Game 5 | Fifth game in that set |
| 3rd Point | Third point of that specific game |
| Bet Type | Predict who wins this single point |
| Key Factors | Server, surface, fatigue, form, momentum |
| Best Strategy | Bet live after analyzing the first two points |
Pro Tip:
If a player is serving under pressure (like after losing two points in a row), betting on the returner for the 3rd point can offer excellent value odds.