What Does “Set 2 Game 4 – 5th Point” Mean?
This market focuses on one specific point in the second set, during the fourth game — precisely the fifth point of that game.
Each game in tennis typically follows this point order:
- 1st point
- 2nd point
- 3rd point
- 4th point
- 5th point
The 5th point usually occurs when the game score could be:
- 30–30, or
- 40–15, or
- 15–40, depending on earlier outcomes.
Your job as a bettor is to predict who will win that single point.
2. Example Scenario
Let’s say we have a match between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz:
- Set 2, Game 4: Djokovic is serving.
- The first four points go as follows:
- Point 1 → Djokovic wins (15–0)
- Point 2 → Alcaraz wins (15–15)
- Point 3 → Djokovic wins (30–15)
- Point 4 → Alcaraz wins (30–30)
The 5th point is the next one — a crucial moment in the game.
If you place a bet on this market, you might see odds like:
- Djokovic to win 5th point → 1.65
- Alcaraz to win 5th point → 2.10
If Djokovic wins the rally, your bet on “Djokovic to win the 5th point” wins.
3. Betting Market Types for the 5th Point
You can find several options:
| Market Type | Description | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Point Winner | Bet on who wins the 5th point. | “Djokovic to win the 5th point.” |
| Serve Outcome | Predict if the 5th point will end with an ace, double fault, or rally. | “Ace on 5th point – Yes/No.” |
| Point Duration | Predict whether the rally will be short (under 5 shots) or long (over 5 shots). | “Over 5.5 shots on 5th point.” |
4. Factors to Consider Before Betting
- Server Advantage:
Players typically win 65–75% of points on serve. So, if the server is strong (like Djokovic), odds favor him. - Surface Type:
- Clay courts (e.g., French Open): longer rallies → more chances for returners.
- Grass courts (e.g., Wimbledon): serve-dominant → server likely wins.
- Player Form:
Check fatigue or momentum. If Alcaraz has just broken Djokovic’s serve earlier, he may carry confidence into this point. - Pressure Moment:
If the game score is 30–30 or deuce, the 5th point becomes high-pressure, which can influence errors or aggression.
5. Example Betting Analysis
Example:
- Match: Djokovic vs. Alcaraz
- Set 2 Game 4 → 5th Point
- Djokovic serving, game score 30–30
Prediction:
Djokovic tends to serve aggressively under pressure. His 1st serve win rate is 78% on hard courts. Therefore, betting on Djokovic to win the 5th point is logical.
Suggested Bet: Djokovic to win the 5th point
Odds: 1.65
Rationale: Strong first serve + pressure point experience.
6. Betting Tips
Tip 1: Track live stats (1st serve %, double faults, return winners).
Tip 2: Bet on servers in fast conditions (grass/hard courts).
Tip 3: Avoid betting during long baseline rallies unless you’ve analyzed player stamina.
Tip 4: Use small stakes — single-point markets are volatile.
Tip 5: Look for momentum swings — a confident returner might surprise after breaking serve.
7. Summary Table
| Factor | Importance | Example Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Server Strength | High | Strong servers dominate 5th point markets |
| Court Type | Medium | Grass → serve advantage |
| Game Score Pressure | High | 30–30 often brings tense moments |
| Momentum | Medium | Player who just broke serve can ride confidence |
| Weather Conditions | Low–Medium | Wind can affect serves and rallies |
Final Thought
The Set 2 Game 4 – 5th Point bet is one of the most dynamic in-play tennis markets, rewarding bettors who understand momentum, serve quality, and psychology. It’s ideal for experienced live bettors who can react quickly to match flow.