What “1st Set – Correct Score After 6 Games” Means
This betting market asks you to predict the exact scoreline after six games have been played in the first set of a tennis match.
The possible outcomes (for a standard set) after 6 games are:
- 3–3
- 4–2
- 2–4
- 5–1
- 1–5
- 6–0
- 0–6
So, you’re predicting how many games each player has won once the first set score reaches 6 total games played.
Example with Players
Example Match:
Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz
Let’s say you bet on:
“1st Set – Correct Score After 6 Games: Djokovic to lead 4–2”
You win if, after 6 games, the scoreline is:
- Djokovic 4 – Alcaraz 2
You lose if the score is anything else (like 3–3, 5–1, etc.), even if Djokovic eventually wins the set.
Example Scenarios:
| Games Played | Current Score | Bet Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Game 1 – Djokovic holds serve | Djokovic 1–0 Alcaraz | Still ongoing |
| Game 2 – Alcaraz holds serve | Djokovic 1–1 Alcaraz | Still ongoing |
| Game 3 – Djokovic holds | Djokovic 2–1 | Still ongoing |
| Game 4 – Djokovic breaks | Djokovic 3–1 | Still ongoing |
| Game 5 – Djokovic holds | Djokovic 4–1 | Still ongoing |
| Game 6 – Alcaraz holds | Djokovic 4–2 | Your bet wins |
If the score were 3–3, you’d lose the “4–2” bet, but win a “3–3” bet.
How Bookmakers Calculate Odds
Odds depend on:
- Player serve strength (e.g. Isner or Djokovic more likely to hold serve)
- Return ability (e.g. Nadal, Alcaraz break serves more often)
- Surface type (Grass favors servers, Clay favors breakers)
- Match format (Best of 3 or 5)
- Momentum / Form
For example:
- On grass, 3–3 or 4–2 are common because both players hold serve often.
- On clay, 4–2 or 5–1 are more likely because service breaks are frequent.
Example with a WTA Match
Iga Świątek vs Coco Gauff (on clay)
Świątek is known for fast starts and strong returns.
If you bet:
“Świątek to lead 5–1 after 6 games in the 1st set”
You’d win if she wins 5 of the first 6 games (scoreline: 5–1).
That’s a realistic bet when Świątek is dominating on clay.
Betting Tips & Strategy
Analyze Serving Trends
- Check each player’s 1st serve % and break points saved.
- Strong servers (e.g. Hurkacz, Fritz) → More likely 3–3 after 6 games.
- Weak servers or good returners (e.g. Medvedev, Swiatek) → Possible 4–2 or 5–1 leads.
Consider Match Start Patterns
- Some players start slow (Tsitsipas often loses early breaks).
- Others start fast (Djokovic often wins early games to set rhythm).
Surface Matters
| Surface | Typical Scores After 6 Games |
|---|---|
| Grass | 3–3, 4–2 (fewer breaks) |
| Hard Court | 3–3, 4–2 |
| Clay | 4–2, 5–1, 6–0 (more breaks) |
Use Live Betting Insight
If you see a player struggling with serve early, betting in-play on a “4–2” or “5–1” scoreline can be valuable.
Don’t Chase “Perfect” Scorelines
Odds for rare scores like 6–0 or 0–6 look tempting, but they’re risky.
Focus on balanced outcomes (3–3, 4–2, 2–4).
Quick Summary Table
| Market | Meaning | Example | Ideal Conditions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Set – Correct Score After 6 Games | Predict exact score after 6 games | Djokovic 4–2 Alcaraz | Djokovic strong starter, on hard court |
| Common Scores | 3–3, 4–2, 2–4 | Balanced match | Both serve well |
| Risky Scores | 6–0, 0–6 | Dominant player | Weak opponent |
Expert Tip
Combine this market with “First Set Winner” or “First Break of Serve” bets to manage risk.
For example, if you back Djokovic 4–2, also bet on Djokovic to win the first set.
Even if he ends up winning 7–5 instead, your first-set bet can cover you.