What “Winning Margin” Means
In table tennis, a player must win a game by at least 2 points (e.g. 11–9, 12–10, 13–11).
So, a winning margin is simply the difference between the winner’s and loser’s points.
For example:
- If the game ends 11–9, the winning margin is 2 points.
- If it ends 11–7, the margin is 4 points.
- If it ends 12–10, the margin is 2 points again.
Example with Realistic Scenario
Let’s use a match between Fan Zhendong and Tomokazu Harimoto.
Market: 4th Game – Winning Margin
Available Betting Options:
- Fan Zhendong to win by 2 points → Odds 3.00
- Fan Zhendong to win by 3–4 points → Odds 3.50
- Fan Zhendong to win by 5+ points → Odds 4.00
- Harimoto to win by 2 points → Odds 3.20
- Harimoto to win by 3–4 points → Odds 3.60
- Harimoto to win by 5+ points → Odds 4.20
Example Outcome:
If the 4th game ends 11–7 in favor of Fan Zhendong,
he wins by 4 points.
Winning bet: Fan Zhendong to win by 3–4 points.
If the score were 12–10 for Harimoto,
he wins by 2 points.
Winning bet: Harimoto to win by 2 points.
Betting Tips for 4th Game – Winning Margin
1. Analyze Player Styles
- Players with aggressive serves and attacks (like Fan Zhendong) often create larger margins when in form.
- Defensive or tactical players (like Harimoto) tend to play closer games, leading to 2-point margins.
2. Check Previous Games
- If the first three games were close (e.g. 11–9, 12–10, 11–8), the 4th game might also be tight.
- Consistent dominance (like 11–5, 11–6) often continues into the next game, suggesting a wider margin bet.
3. Look at Momentum and Fatigue
- A player losing 3–0 might take more risks in the 4th game — this can either narrow or widen the margin depending on success.
- Fatigue or frustration can cause a player to lose heavily, leading to a big margin.
4. Live Betting Advantage
- If betting in-play, watch the first few rallies in the 4th game.
- Strong early lead (e.g. 5–1) may indicate a 5+ margin outcome.
- Tight exchanges (e.g. 6–6) point toward a 2-point margin finish.
5. Head-to-Head Trends
- Check how close previous games between the two players have been.
If most games end 11–9 or 12–10, the 2-point margin bet has strong value.
Example Betting Strategy
- Match: Fan Zhendong vs Harimoto
- Your Bet: 4th Game – Winning Margin
- Selection: Fan Zhendong to win by 3–4 points @ 3.50
- Stake: ₦5,000
- If Fan Zhendong wins 11–7,
→ You win ₦5,000 × 3.50 = ₦17,500 payout.
Key Takeaway
The 4th Game – Winning Margin bet is about precision, not just predicting the winner.
It’s a great market for bettors who analyze score trends and player consistency.
Focus on game flow, playing styles, and momentum to make informed picks.