Meaning of “Home by 1”
When a bookmaker offers “Home by 1”, it usually refers to Winning Margin betting.
It means:
- The home team (the team listed first or playing at their stadium) must win the match by exactly one goal.
This is different from “Home Win” (just winning regardless of the margin).
Here, the goal difference matters.
How it Works (Step by Step)
| Term | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Home Team | Team playing at their stadium (listed first in most markets). |
| By 1 | Winning by exactly 1 goal (goal difference = 1). |
| Outcome | You win your bet only if the home team wins by a single-goal margin (e.g. 1-0, 2-1, 3-2). |
Example Using Real Teams
Match: Liverpool vs Brighton at Anfield
- You bet on “Liverpool – Win by Exactly 1 Goal” (Home by 1).
| Final Score | Result for Your Bet |
|---|---|
| 1-0 Liverpool | Win (home by 1) |
| 2-1 Liverpool | Win (home by 1) |
| 3-2 Liverpool | Win (home by 1) |
| 2-0 Liverpool | Lose (home by 2, not 1) |
| 1-1 Draw | Lose (not a home win) |
| 0-1 Brighton | Lose (home lost) |
Why People Bet This Market
- Higher odds than just “Home Win” (1X2).
- Good when you expect a tight match but still believe the home team edges it.
- Can be part of an accumulator for bigger returns.
Betting Tips for “Home by 1”
- Research Head-to-Head Results
- Look for patterns of narrow home wins.
- Example: If Liverpool often beats Brighton 2-1 or 1-0 at home, “Home by 1” may be good value.
- Check Team Form & Injuries
- If the home team is strong but missing key attackers, narrow wins are more likely.
- Look at Defensive Records
- A strong defence but average attack increases the chance of 1-goal wins.
- Late Goals Impact
- Teams known for scoring late may turn a 1-0 into a 2-0, which would ruin a “Home by 1” bet.
- Live Betting Option
- If you see the home team dominating but only 1-0 up after 70 mins, “Home by 1” can still be available at shorter odds for in-play betting.
Quick Tip Table
| Situation | Market Value |
|---|---|
| Home team strong but opponent stubborn | “Home by 1” more likely |
| Home team free-scoring, opponent weak | Consider “Home by 2+” instead |
| Derby/rivalry match | Narrow margins common → “Home by 1” better |
Would you like me to also explain “Away by 1” (same idea but for the away team)?