What “Excluded Number of Goals” Means
This market lets you bet on a match’s total goals scored but excludes a specific number from winning.
If you pick “1 Excluded Number of Goals”, it means:
- Your bet wins if the total number of goals scored in the match is anything except exactly 1.
- Your bet loses (or is void, depending on the bookmaker) if the total number of goals is exactly 1.
This is also sometimes called “Goals Excluded” or “Excluding X Goals” market.
How It Works With a Team Example
Let’s say the match is:
Chelsea vs Brentford
You bet on “Excluded Number of Goals = 1”
- If the match ends 0–0 (0 goals) → you WIN
- If it ends 2–0, 1–1, 3–0, 2–2, 4–1, etc. (any total except 1) → you WIN
- If it ends 1–0 or 0–1 (exactly 1 goal total) → you LOSE
In other words, the only time you lose is if the total goals in the match = 1.
Why Bookies Offer This
It’s for people who think a specific scoreline is unlikely but want coverage of all other outcomes.
Example:
If you think Chelsea vs Brentford will be either high-scoring or a 0–0, but not a tight 1–0, you’d take “Excluded 1 Goal” to cover all results except 1 goal.
Betting Odds Example
Let’s assume odds:
- “Excluded 1 Goal” @ 1.30
- “Excluded 2 Goals” @ 1.40
If you stake $100 on Excluded 1 Goal:
- If final score is 2–0 → You win $130 (profit $30)
- If final score is 1–0 → You lose $100
Betting Tips
- Check Team Styles
- Defensive teams + low-scoring leagues → higher risk of 1–0 or 0–1 → this bet less attractive.
- Open, attacking teams → safer to exclude 1 goal.
- Look at Head-to-Heads
- If last 5 matches ended 1–0 or 0–1, be cautious.
- If they’re often 2–1, 3–0, 2–2, etc., this bet is stronger.
- Combine with Other Markets
- Some bettors pair “Excluded 1 Goal” with Over/Under bets for extra coverage.
- Watch for Team News
- Missing key strikers may increase chance of low-scoring (like 1–0).
- Full-strength squads more likely to have 2+ goals.
Quick Example Table
| Match Result | Total Goals | Bet: Excluded 1 Goal? |
|---|---|---|
| 0–0 | 0 | Win |
| 1–0 | 1 | Lose |
| 0–1 | 1 | Lose |
| 2–0 | 2 | Win |
| 1–1 | 2 | Win |
| 3–1 | 4 | Win |
Would you like me to also show how this market compares to a normal Over/Under 1.5 goals bet? (It’s a neat difference and can help pick better odds.)