What “Winner (incl. Super Over)” Means
This market is about predicting which team will win the match, including if the game is tied at the end of regular play and goes to a Super Over.
- If a match is tied, the result is decided by a Super Over.
- Your bet on the winning team still stands (instead of being void/refunded as in some markets).
- Essentially, no draw option exists — one team must be declared the winner.
Example
Imagine an IPL game: Mumbai Indians (MI) vs Chennai Super Kings (CSK).
- You bet Mumbai Indians to win (incl. Super Over) at odds 1.80.
- The match ends in a tie after 20 overs each.
- A Super Over is played, and Mumbai wins.
Your bet wins.
If you had chosen CSK and they lost in the Super Over, your bet loses.
Analysis with a Team Example
Let’s use Mumbai Indians (MI) as a case study:
- MI have historically been strong in tight matches because of players like Rohit Sharma, Kieron Pollard (in earlier seasons), and power-hitters who perform under pressure.
- In the 2020 IPL season, MI won multiple close finishes, showing resilience in death overs.
- When betting on MI in “Winner incl. Super Over,” you rely on:
- Their death bowling strength (Bumrah, Archer, etc.)
- Their experienced finishers
- Their ability to handle pressure situations.
This makes MI a good pick in markets where ties are possible.
Betting Tips
- Check Head-to-Head History
- Some teams often play close matches (e.g., MI vs CSK, IND vs PAK in ICC events). If tie probability is higher, this market is safer than “Win/Draw/No Bet.”
- Look at Pitch & Venue
- Short boundaries + flat wickets (e.g., Sharjah, Chinnaswamy) = higher chance of ties in T20s.
- Low-scoring turning tracks rarely end in ties.
- Team Composure in Pressure
- Teams with experienced finishers and calm bowlers (India, Australia, MI, CSK) are more reliable in Super Over situations.
- Use In-Play Betting
- If a game looks like it’s going to the wire (last over thriller), betting live on “Winner incl. Super Over” can give value odds.
- Avoid Heavy Favorites in Dead-Rubber Games
- In less important matches, teams may rotate squads, making upsets more likely.
Example Betting Strategy
- Scenario: World Cup T20 – India vs Pakistan
- Odds: India (1.70), Pakistan (2.10)
- Given both sides have strong chasing line-ups, there’s always potential for ties.
- If you back India incl. Super Over, you cover both the regular win and tie-break win.
In short:
“Winner (incl. Super Over)” removes the risk of a tie voiding your bet. It’s best used when betting on experienced teams that usually win pressure games.
Would you like me to also create a comparison between “Winner (incl. Super Over)” vs “Match Winner (Tie = No Bet)” so you can see which one gives better value in different cricket formats (ODI, T20, Test)?