What “Player Tackles (incl. Overtime)” Means
- This market focuses on the number of tackles a specific player makes during a match.
- A tackle in stats terms is when a player successfully challenges an opponent in possession of the ball.
- “Incl. Overtime” means it also counts any extra time added (e.g., in cup ties, Champions League knockout stages, World Cup games).
So if you back Casemiro Over 3.5 tackles vs Arsenal and he makes 4 during the 90 minutes + 1 in extra time, your bet wins.
How It Works with a Club Team Example
Let’s use Manchester United vs Arsenal:
- Player market example:
- Casemiro (Man Utd) – Over/Under 3.5 Tackles
- Declan Rice (Arsenal) – Over/Under 2.5 Tackles
Scenario 1:
- Casemiro makes 2 in the first half, 1 in the second half, and 1 in extra time = 4 tackles.
- If you bet Over 3.5 tackles, bet wins.
- If you bet Under 3.5 tackles, bet loses.
Scenario 2:
- Declan Rice makes 1 tackle in each half, but none in extra time = 2 total.
- If you bet Over 2.5 tackles, bet loses.
- If you bet Under 2.5 tackles, bet wins.
Key Factors That Influence Tackles
- Player Position
- Defensive midfielders (e.g., Rodri, Casemiro, Rice, Kante) usually top this market.
- Defenders also rack up tackles, especially full-backs facing tricky wingers.
- Playing Style of the Opponent
- A possession-heavy team (like Man City or Barcelona) forces opponents into more tackles.
- Teams that attack from the wings (like Liverpool) make full-backs rack up tackles.
- Match Importance
- In cup ties with overtime, midfielders tend to make more tackles as intensity rises.
- Referee Style
- Some referees let the game flow (more tackles), others stop play early (fewer tackles).
Example with Club Teams
- Chelsea vs Manchester City (FA Cup)
- Enzo Fernández (Chelsea) is set at 2.5 tackles. Since City dominate possession, Enzo is likely to press hard in midfield, so Over 2.5 becomes attractive.
- Kyle Walker (Man City) facing Mykhailo Mudryk may have a line at 1.5 tackles. Given Mudryk’s dribbling, Walker can easily hit 2–3 tackles.
Betting Tips
- Target Defensive Midfielders – They are always in the thick of challenges.
- Check Opponent’s Style – Players facing dribblers (e.g., full-backs vs wingers like Vinícius Jr.) usually make more tackles.
- Look at Past Stats – If a player averages 3.8 tackles per game, betting Over 2.5 is usually smart.
- Overtime Value – In knockout games, backing the “Over” becomes safer since players get 30 more minutes to accumulate tackles.
- Avoid Attackers – Forwards rarely get more than 1 tackle per game unless they’re known for pressing (like Darwin Núñez).
Would you like me to also make a table of common players and their average tackle stats (e.g., Casemiro, Rice, Kimmich, Kante) so you can see who’s usually worth betting on in this market?