Alright — “1 excluded number of goals” in soccer sports betting usually means you are betting on anything except exactly 1 total goal being scored in the match.
That “excluded” wording is key: you’re not picking over or under, you’re simply removing the possibility of exactly that number of goals from your winning outcomes.
How it Works
- Market meaning: The bookmaker sets an “excluded” number of goals (in this case 1).
- Your bet wins if the total number of goals scored in the match is anything other than exactly 1.
- If the total goals scored is exactly 1, you lose.
Example
Let’s say you bet “1 excluded number of goals” in a Premier League match between Chelsea vs Arsenal.
Full-time scores & results:
| Final Score | Total Goals | Bet Result |
|---|---|---|
| 0–0 | 0 | Win |
| 1–0 | 1 | Lose |
| 0–1 | 1 | Lose |
| 2–0 | 2 | Win |
| 3–1 | 4 | Win |
| 4–3 | 7 | Win |
So your bet only fails if exactly one goal is scored by both teams combined.
Why Bettors Use It
- More coverage than standard over/under bets, because many scorelines work in your favor.
- Good for matches where you expect either a goalless draw or plenty of goals, but not a single low-scoring win.
Betting Tips
- Avoid very defensive matchups
If both teams are defensive but likely to grab one goal, this market is risky. - Use for matches with big attacking potential or total stalemates
For example, Champions League knockouts with aggressive styles or “dead rubber” group matches. - Check historical head-to-head results
If the last 5 meetings had scores like 2–1, 3–2, 0–0, 4–0, it’s safer. But if you see many 1–0 or 0–1 results, stay away.
If you want, I can also give you a quick probability chart showing how often “exactly 1 goal” happens in top leagues so you can see why this bet is usually good value. That makes it easier to judge when to play it.