What Does Over 23 Mean in Tennis Betting?
“Over 23” in tennis total games betting means you’re betting that the total number of games played in a match will be more than 23.
- If 24 or more games are played in the match, you win.
- If 23 or fewer games are played, you lose.
- If the market is Over/Under 23.0 (exactly 23), then 23 games results in a push (stake returned) — but check your bookmaker, as some treat it as a loss if it’s not a 23.5 line.
How Are Total Games Calculated?
A tennis match’s total games = games won by both players across all sets.
For example:
- Set 1: 6–4 (10 games)
- Set 2: 7–5 (12 games)
- Set 3: 4–6 (10 games)
Total games: 10 + 12 + 10 = 32 games
In this case, Over 23 wins easily.
Examples of Over 23 Outcomes:
| Final Score | Total Games | Over 23 Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| 6–4, 7–6 | 23 games | Push or Lose |
| 7–6, 7–6 | 26 games | Win |
| 6–3, 6–4 | 19 games | Lose |
| 6–7, 6–3, 6–4 | 32 games | Win |
| 6–1, 6–2 | 15 games | Lose |
Smart Betting Tips for Over 23 Games
- Look for even matchups
- When two players are closely ranked or have a strong head-to-head rivalry, matches are more likely to go longer.
- Tip: ATP top 50 vs top 50 = high probability of 3 sets.
- Strong servers = more tiebreaks = more games
- Players like John Isner, Reilly Opelka, or Milos Raonic tend to have longer sets due to fewer breaks.
- Best-of-3 format is trickier than Best-of-5
- Over 23 is harder in best-of-3 matches unless they’re very close contests or include tiebreaks.
- Surface matters
- Grass & hard courts favor longer games (fast surfaces = fewer breaks).
- Clay allows for more breaks; be cautious.
- Check recent form & fitness
- Players coming back from injury or in poor form might underperform — avoid betting Over 23 in such cases.
Bonus Strategy: Live Betting Angle
- If the first set ends 7–6 or 7–5, it’s a good opportunity to bet Over (if live markets allow), especially if it’s 1–1 in sets — a third set will push total games high.
Formula for Over 23 Wins:
- Two sets that go: 7–6, 7–5 = 26 games
- Three sets like: 6–4, 3–6, 6–4 = 29 games
- But 6–2, 6–3 = 17 games
Summary
| Key Factor | Why It Matters |
|---|---|
| Even matchup | More likely to go 3 sets |
| Strong servers | More tiebreaks, fewer breaks |
| Surface | Fast = more games; slow = fewer |
| Match format | Over 23 easier in best-of-5 |
| Player form | Fatigue/injuries can cut match short |
If you’d like, I can also help with today’s match examples where Over 23 may be a good pick. Just let me know!