What Does “Over 22” Mean in Tennis Betting?
“Over 22” in tennis betting refers to a total games bet on a match. You’re predicting that the combined number of games played by both players will be more than 22.
Example Breakdown:
Let’s say a match ends with this score:
- Player A beats Player B: 7–6, 4–6, 6–4
Total games:
- Set 1: 7 + 6 = 13 games
- Set 2: 4 + 6 = 10 games
- Set 3: 6 + 4 = 10 games
- Total = 13 + 10 + 10 = 33 games → Over 22 wins
If the match ends:
- 6–3, 6–2 → 9 + 8 = 17 games → Over 22 loses
When to Bet on Over 22
Here are some scenarios where betting Over 22 makes more sense:
1. Evenly Matched Players
- If both players have similar rankings, stats, or recent form.
- Expect 3 sets in best-of-3 formats (like ATP/WTA matches).
2. Strong Servers
- Players like John Isner, Hubert Hurkacz, or Aryna Sabalenka are hard to break.
- Many sets may go to tiebreaks (7–6), increasing total games.
3. Grand Slam (Best of 5) Matches
- More sets = more chances to go over 22 games.
- Even a 3-set match with tiebreaks can easily go over.
When to Avoid Over 22
1. Mismatched Players
- If one player is much stronger, they may win 6–1, 6–2 (under 22 easily).
2. Clay Court Specialists
- Clay surfaces (like Roland Garros) have longer rallies but more breaks of serve.
- May result in low-scoring sets like 6–2, 6–1.
3. Retirements or Injuries
- If a player retires mid-match, your bet may be void or lost (check bookmaker rules).
Betting Tips for Over 22
- Check Head-to-Head (H2H)
- Do their past matches often go 3 sets or tiebreaks?
- Look at Surface Type
- Hard/grass = more holds of serve = more games
- Clay = more breaks = potentially fewer games
- Monitor Live Odds
- If first set is close (e.g., 7–6), you might still get good value on over bets live.
- Watch Tournament Format
- ATP/WTA Tour = best of 3
- Grand Slams (men) = best of 5 (easier to go over 22)
- Avoid betting blind
- Use stats: Break points won, average games per match, service hold %, etc.
Example Matches Good for Over 22:
- Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur (Hard court)
- Sinner vs Medvedev (Indoor)
- Sabalenka vs Rybakina (WTA final)
Would you like a list of today’s matches that fit the Over 22 profile? I can get them for you.