14+ | Match Goal Kicks in Football Sports Betting Explained (With Examples + Betting Tips)
Match Goal Kicks is a popular betting market in football that focuses on the total number of goal kicks taken during a match. It’s simple once you understand how goal kicks are counted and how bookmakers set their lines.
What Is a Goal Kick? (Quick Refresher)
A goal kick is awarded when:
- The attacking team kicks the ball over the defending team’s goal line (but not into the goal).
- Play restarts with the defending goalkeeper (or any defender) taking the kick from the goal area.
Important: Goal kicks do not include free kicks, corners, or kicks taken after the ball goes out over the touchline.
What Does “Match Goal Kicks 14+” Mean?
When you see “14+ Match Goal Kicks”, it means:
You are betting that the total number of goal kicks in the match will be 14 or more.
- If the match has 14 or more goal kicks, the bet wins.
- If the match has 13 or fewer goal kicks, the bet loses.
This market is often listed under Total Goal Kicks, Goal Kick Over/Under, or Set Betting depending on the bookmaker.
Examples
Example 1: Winning bet
Match ends with the following:
- Team A: 9 goal kicks
- Team B: 6 goal kicks
Total = 15 goal kicks → Bet Wins (because 15 ≥ 14)
Example 2: Losing bet
- Team A: 7 goal kicks
- Team B: 5 goal kicks
Total = 12 goal kicks → Bet Loses
Example 3: Exact number
- Team A: 8
- Team B: 6
Total = 14
If you backed 14+, you win because 14 is included.
How Goal Kicks Tend to Occur
Goal kicks are usually influenced by:
1. Playing Style
- Counter-attacking teams → more inaccurate shots → more goal kicks.
- Possession teams → fewer long shots → fewer goal kicks.
2. Weather Conditions
- Windy or wet conditions cause mistakes, leading to more goal kicks.
3. Match Importance
- Tight tactical matches = fewer risky shots → fewer goal kicks.
- Open, attacking matches = more goal kicks.
4. Shot Accuracy
Many goal kicks come from:
- Shots off target
- Long through balls rolling out
- Defenders clearing upfield
Tips for Betting on Match Goal Kicks
1. Check Team Shooting Stats
Teams with lots of long shots and low shot accuracy usually produce more goal kicks.
2. Consider Pace of Play
Fast, end-to-end matches create more shooting opportunities → more goal kicks.
3. Compare the Line to Averages
Most professional matches have around 12–18 goal kicks.
A line of 14+ is very typical and balanced.
4. Live Betting Advantage
If the first 10–15 minutes show:
- Many attacks
- Early shots off target
- Clearing mistakes
…it often indicates a high goal-kick match.
5. Avoid Low-Risk Tactical Matches
Games where both sides play cautiously (e.g., semifinals, derbies) tend to produce fewer goal kicks.
Should You Bet Over or Under 14?
Over 14 works best when:
- Both teams shoot frequently
- The match is expected to be open
- Weather is poor
- Defences are shaky
Under 14 works best when:
- Teams are possession-focused
- The match is slow or defensive
- Both teams have accurate shooters
Summary
“Match Goal Kicks 14+” means betting that the total number of goal kicks in the match will be 14 or more.
Understanding team styles, shot accuracy, weather, and match tempo can greatly improve your betting accuracy in this market.
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