What “Home/Draw & Over 5.5” Means
This is a combo (or multi-condition) bet that combines:
- Double Chance: Home/Draw → The home team must either win or draw the match.
- You lose if the away team wins.
- Over 5.5 Goals → The total number of goals in the match must be 6 or more.
- Example: 4–2, 6–0, 5–1, 3–3 all qualify as “Over 5.5”.
So for your bet to win, both conditions must happen together:
- Home team does not lose (they win or draw)
- Total goals ≥ 6
Example: Manchester City vs. Bournemouth
Let’s say you place a bet on:
Home/Draw & Over 5.5 Goals
Scenario 1 – Bet Wins
Final score: Manchester City 5–1 Bournemouth
- City (home) won
- Total goals = 6
Bet wins!
Scenario 2 – Bet Loses
Final score: Manchester City 3–3 Bournemouth
- Home/Draw (Draw)
- Total goals = 6
Bet wins again!
Scenario 3 – Bet Loses
Final score: Manchester City 2–4 Bournemouth
- Home/Draw (Home team lost)
- Over 5.5 (6 goals total)
Bet loses — because City lost.
Scenario 4 – Bet Loses
Final score: Manchester City 3–2 Bournemouth
- Home/Draw
- Over 5.5 (Only 5 goals)
Bet loses — not enough goals.
Summary Table
| Result | Home/Draw | Goals | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5–1 | Win | (6) | Win |
| 3–3 | win | (6) | Win |
| 2–4 | lose | (6) | Lose |
| 3–2 | lose | (5) | Lose |
| 6–0 | win | (6) | Win |
When This Bet Makes Sense
You should consider Home/Draw & Over 5.5 only in rare but high-scoring matchups, such as:
- When the home team scores many goals, but the away team also attacks well.
- In cup matches, or end-of-season games with open play and little defense.
- When teams have nothing to lose, like final group stage matches.
Betting Tips
- Target teams with explosive attack records
- Think: Manchester City, PSG, Bayern Munich, Real Madrid, etc.
- These teams can score 5+ goals at home on a good day.
- Check recent scoring trends
- If both teams have hit 3+ goals often, it’s a good sign.
- Avoid matches where the away team defends deep (like Burnley or Getafe types).
- Look for small teams that concede heavily away
- Example: City vs. Luton Town → high-scoring potential.
- Use low stakes
- This is a high-risk bet. Over 5.5 is rare — often occurs in <5% of matches.
- Alternative: Try “Home/Draw & Over 3.5”
- This hits more often, giving you safer returns.
Example Fixture Where It Could Work
- Bayern Munich vs. Heidenheim
- Bayern score an average of 4+ goals at home.
- Heidenheim are weak defensively.
- Possible high scoreline like 6–1, 5–2, or 4–2 (close to the 5.5 line).
Potential Winning Score: 6–1 → Home/Draw + Over 5.5
Quick Recap
| Component | Condition | Needed for Win |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw | Home team wins or draws | Yes |
| Over 5.5 Goals | 6 or more goals total | Yes |
| Result Example | 5–1, 4–2, 3–3 | Win |