What Does “Set 1 Game 5 – First 2 Points Winner” Mean?
This is a micro-market or fast-settling bet in tennis.
You are betting on which player will win the first 2 points in the 5th game of the first set.
Let’s break it down:
- Set 1 → You are focusing ONLY on the first set.
- Game 5 → The 5th game of that set.
- First 2 points winner → You predict which player will reach 2 points first in that game:
- The score could be 2–0
- Or 2–1
- Or 2–2 → but one player must reach 2 points first
It doesn’t matter who wins the entire game or the set — only who gets to 2 points first in the 5th game.
Example Using a Player (Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic)
Imagine a match between Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic.
Odds example (hypothetical):
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alcaraz to win first 2 points of Game 5 | 1.80 |
| Djokovic to win first 2 points of Game 5 | 2.00 |
Scenario 1: Alcaraz wins the bet
Game 5 starts like this:
- Point 1 → Alcaraz wins
- Point 2 → Alcaraz wins
He reaches 2 points before Djokovic → Bet wins.
Even if Alcaraz later loses the entire game 2–4 or loses the set, your bet is already settled.
Scenario 2: Djokovic wins the bet
Game 5 starts like this:
- Point 1 → Djokovic wins
- Point 2 → Alcaraz wins
- Point 3 → Djokovic wins
Djokovic reaches 2 points before Alcaraz → placed on Djokovic wins
If you placed on Alcaraz → Your bet loses.
Scenario 3: Score reaches 2–2
Example:
- Point 1 → Djokovic
- Point 2 → Alcaraz
- Point 3 → Djokovic
- Point 4 → Alcaraz
But who reached 2 first?
- Djokovic reached 2 at 2–1 → Djokovic wins
This bet is about who hits 2 points first, not the final point score.
How This Market Works
- It is very fast and influenced by:
- Serve strength
- Momentum from previous game
- Return ability
- Mental pressure
Game 5 is often important because:
- If a player is serving at 2–2 or 3–1, pressure is higher.
How to Predict Better (Player Analysis Example)
Example Player: Novak Djokovic
Djokovic:
- Returns extremely well
- Rarely gives away free points
- Has strong mental composure under pressure
So if Djokovic is receiving in Game 5 and the server struggles under pressure, it’s often smart to back Djokovic.
When to Bet on a Player in Game 5 (First 2 Points)
Bet on Player A if:
- They have strong serve
- They have won previous service games comfortably (40–15, 40–0)
- They have momentum
- Opponent is frustrated or just lost a break
Bet on Player B if:
- Player B is an elite returner
- Player A’s first-serve percentage has dropped
- Player A is under pressure (e.g., serving at 2–3 or 3–4, break point risk)
- Player B has just broken serve and is confident
Betting Tips
Check serve statistics LIVE
If the server’s first serve is landing below 60%, they are vulnerable.
Watch player body language
Tennis micro-bets heavily rely on momentum.
Avoid betting blindly pre-match
Always watch the first few games.
Don’t chase losses
These micro-markets are fast — bankroll discipline is key.
Use player tendencies
Some players always start games slowly but finish strong.
Example:
- Tsitsipas sometimes starts slow → might lose early points.
Example Betting Situation (Clear Summary)
Match: Alcaraz vs Medvedev
- Medvedev is returning in Game 5
- Alcaraz just played a long draining game
- Alcaraz’s first serve percentage drops to 52%
Bet: “Medvedev to win first 2 points of Game 5”
Why?
- Strong returner
- Fatigue on Alcaraz
- Momentum advantage