Set 2 Game 4 – 4th Point in Tennis Sports Betting Explained
In tennis point-by-point betting, “Set 2 Game 4 – 4th Point” refers to betting on the outcome of the 4th point in the 4th game of the second set of a tennis match.
- Set 2: The second set of the match.
- Game 4: The fourth game within that set.
- 4th Point: The fourth rally or point played in that specific game.
This market lets bettors predict which player will win that exact point — often labelled as “Point Winner (Set 2, Game 4, Point 4)” in live betting platforms.
How It Works (Step-by-Step Example)
Let’s use an example match:
- Player A (Carlos Alcaraz)
- Player B (Jannik Sinner)
Suppose the score is:
- Set 1 → Alcaraz 6–4
- Set 2, Game 4 → Sinner serving, score 30–15
That means the 4th point of Game 4 has already been played (since point 1 → 15–0, point 2 → 15–15, point 3 → 30–15).
If you placed a bet on “Alcaraz to win 4th point in Set 2 Game 4”, you’re betting that Alcaraz wins that individual rally — nothing more.
If Alcaraz wins that point, your bet wins.
If sinner wins the point, your bet loses.
Factors to Consider Before Betting
- Server Advantage
- The server usually wins around 65–75% of points on serve, depending on surface.
- If Sinner is serving, he’s statistically more likely to win the 4th point.
- Momentum & Confidence
- If the receiver (Alcaraz) just broke serve or forced long rallies, his confidence might give him an edge for the next point.
- Surface Type
- On clay, longer rallies favor consistent baseliners.
- On grass or hard courts, servers have more control over points.
- Player Fatigue & Focus
- Late in a long match, concentration dips can lead to unforced errors on key points.
- Live Observation
- Watch body language: frustration, confidence, or rhythm shifts during live play often predict short-term outcomes like a single point.
Example Betting Scenario
Match:
- Set 2, Game 4
- Sinner serving
- Score: 15–30 (Alcaraz leading)
Bet Option:
Next Point Winner (Set 2 Game 4 Point 4): Alcaraz @2.10 or Sinner @1.70
You might bet on Alcaraz if:
- Sinner’s first serve % is dropping
- Alcaraz is reading Sinner’s serve well
- Momentum is with Alcaraz after a long rally
If Alcaraz wins the next point → you win your bet.
Betting Tips
- Follow Server Patterns:
Check how often a player wins points on first vs. second serve. Bet against weak second servers under pressure. - Use Live Stats:
Watch in-play stats for first serve percentage and unforced errors before betting on a single point. - Avoid Emotional Bets:
A single point is unpredictable — stick to logical, data-driven patterns instead of emotion or bias. - Smaller Stakes:
Since point-by-point betting is highly volatile, use small stake sizes (1–3% of bankroll). - Surface and Player Style:
On clay, bet more confidently on returners like Alcaraz or Djokovic; on grass, servers like Kyrgios or Hurkacz usually dominate.
Summary Table
| Term | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Set 2 Game 4 – 4th Point | Bet on the winner of the 4th point in the 4th game of the 2nd set |
| Betting Type | In-play / point betting |
| Key Factors | Server strength, momentum, surface, fatigue |
| Risk Level | Very high (each point is unpredictable) |
| Tip | Bet small, use live data and player tendencies |