Sunderland and Wolves (Wolverhampton Wanderers) in their recent form, and how that might influence their upcoming match. Also, I’ll suggest possible goal lines / score predictions (but take them with caution — football is unpredictable).
Recent Form & Performance
I could not reliably find exact “last 5 matches” full stats (goals for, against, home/away splits, xG etc.) for both teams for the 2025-26 Premier League season in the sources I checked. But I aggregated what is available and also used expert previews / predictions to fill gaps. Below is what can be reasonably inferred.
Sunderland — Performance Snapshot
Overall (so far this season)
- Sunderland’s record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses (in league) — a decent start.
- They are placed around 9th in the Premier League with ~11 points.
- Home form is relatively strong: unbeaten in their three home games (2 wins, 1 draw) so far.
- Goals scored (total): Sunderland have scored ~7 goals so far in the league (from the sources) but note this may be partial data.
Squad & stats (some relevant notes)
- Key players: Wilson Isidor is their top scorer so far.
- Reinildo Mandava is suspended (out) for this upcoming match against Wolves.
- Some injury / card risks: players like Noah Sadiki, Granit Xhaka (from Sunderland) and Matt Doherty, João Gomes (from Wolves) are “two yellow cards away” from suspension.
- Defensive trend vs Wolves: Sunderland have kept clean sheets in their last 3 matches against Wolves (in all competitions) per a statistical preview.
Recent match previews / predictions
- One preview (Sports Mole) expects a tight game: “Sunderland 1-0 Wolverhampton” as the predicted score.
- Another source (BetMGM) sees Sunderland as a –0.5 home favorite (i.e. giving them a slight edge).
- Odds / algorithm models: Sunderland ~41% win probability vs Wolves in some predictive algorithms.
- Another tip: Sunderland 2-1 Wolves is offered by some betting preview sites.
So overall, Sunderland look decently balanced, especially at home; their attack is modest, their defense may be reliable (especially in this fixture).
Wolves — Performance Snapshot
Overall (so far this season)
- Wolves are having a very poor run: 0 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses in the league so far.
- They sit at the bottom of the table (20th) with just 2 points (from draws).
- In their last 10 matches (across competitions / or in the league), some sources say they had W0 D3 L7 with goal differential –13.
Squad & stats (notes)
- They seem to lack a cutting edge up front (i.e. struggling to score). Several previews mention that Wolves are “lacking a cutting edge up front.”
- The lineup preview suggests they might persist with a back four.
Recent match previews / predictions
- Most previews back Sunderland to win (narrowly) over Wolves.
- In head-to-head context: over the last 5 H2H matches, Wolves reportedly have 4 wins, Sunderland none, and 1 draw. (However, that may refer to historical data, not recent years, and might conflict with other head-to-head summaries).
- Some sources note that Sunderland have historical upper hand in the fixture (overall in meetings) — e.g. 49 wins for Sunderland vs 41 for Wolves (in all-time matchups).
Given Wolves’ terrible start to the season, low morale, and difficulty scoring, they are expected to struggle in this fixture.
What to Watch / Key Factors in Their Match
Here are the major dynamics that could influence the outcome:
| Factor | Advantage Sunderland | Concern / Wild card |
|---|---|---|
| Home advantage & form | They are unbeaten at home so far and more comfortable at Stadium of Light. | If Wolves defend deep and absorb pressure, Sunderland might get frustrated. |
| Defensive solidity against Wolves | Sunderland’s record of keeping clean sheets vs Wolves (recently) suggests they might cope well. | Injuries/suspensions (Mandava out) may weaken their defense. |
| Wolves’ scoring struggles | Wolves are weak in attack, which Sunderland can exploit. | If Wolves get an early goal or set-piece success, they might rally. |
| Psychological / momentum | Sunderland have momentum and confidence; Wolves are under pressure and desperate for a win. | Sometimes teams under pressure produce surprising upsets. |
Another thing to monitor: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) — many previews are cautious about whether Wolves even score. E.g., some say ~50% chance of BTTS in this match.
Also, Over/Under goals: some sources estimate low to moderate goal totals. One says ~34% chance for over 2.5 goals.
Prediction & Suggested Score / Goal Lines
Putting all that together, here is my considered prediction and best bet ideas:
- Likely winner: Sunderland
- Expected scorelines:
• 1-0 Sunderland
• 2-1 Sunderland - Goal line / totals bets:
• Under 2.5 goals (i.e. total goals ≤ 2 or 3) is a safer bet
• BTTS = No (i.e. expect Wolves to potentially not score)
• Sunderland –0.5 (i.e. they must win outright) might also be a reasonable handicap bet
Of course, these are probabilistic — surprises happen.
If you like, I can run a more rigorous statistical model (with expected goals, shot data, etc.) and produce probabilities for 0-0, 1-0, 2-1, etc.