What “Team to Score a Penalty” Means
This is a betting market where you predict whether a specific team will successfully score a penalty kick during a match (in regular time).
- It doesn’t matter who takes the penalty (striker, midfielder, or even defender).
- It doesn’t matter how the penalty was awarded (foul, handball, VAR decision).
- Your bet wins if that team successfully converts at least one penalty during the match.
Important: If the team gets a penalty but misses (saved, hits the post, or misses target) → your bet loses.
If the team does not get a penalty at all → your bet loses.
Variations You Might See
- Team to Score a Penalty (Yes/No): Will the team score at least one penalty?
- Team to Miss a Penalty: Will the team miss a penalty?
- Any Team to Score a Penalty: Will any side in the match score from a penalty?
Bookies usually list it like:
- Team A to Score a Penalty – Yes/No
- Team B to Score a Penalty – Yes/No
Example with a Real Team
Let’s use Manchester City vs. Chelsea as an example:
- Market: “Manchester City to Score a Penalty – Yes”
- Odds: 4.50 (example odds)
If during the match:
- City get a penalty (Erling Haaland takes it) and he scores → Bet Wins.
- City get a penalty but Haaland misses or it’s saved → Bet Loses.
- City never get a penalty → Bet Loses.
If you bet on Chelsea to Score a Penalty – Yes at 5.00 and Chelsea’s Cole Palmer scores from a penalty → you win.
How Bookmakers Calculate Odds
This market’s odds are usually quite high because:
- Not every game has a penalty.
- Not every penalty is scored.
- Some teams get awarded more penalties than others.
Bookmakers factor:
- Referee tendency to award penalties.
- Team playing style (attacking, dribbling in box).
- Opposition’s defensive style (tackling, fouls in box).
- Penalty taker’s success rate.
Betting Tips: Team to Score a Penalty
- Check Penalty Statistics
- Some teams like Manchester City, Real Madrid, Liverpool get a lot of penalties due to attacking style.
- Some teams like Barcelona or PSG also have top-class penalty takers.
- Check the Referee
- Some referees award more penalties than others (available on stats sites like Whoscored).
- Consider High-Stakes Games
- Finals, derbies, or relegation battles often see more fouls in the box.
- Check Who Takes Penalties
- If the usual penalty taker is absent or injured, conversion chances drop.
- Live Betting Option
- Some bookies allow “Next Penalty – Scored/Missed” during the match if a penalty is awarded.
Example Bet Slip
| Match | Market | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City vs Chelsea | Man City to Score a Penalty – Yes | 4.50 | |
| PSG vs Lyon | PSG to Score a Penalty – Yes | 3.80 |
If both bets win, a £10 double bet would return a significant payout.
Key Takeaways
- You’re betting on successful conversion, not just the awarding of a penalty.
- Best used in matches where one team attacks a lot against a foul-prone defence.
- Always check team news (penalty taker in squad) and referee stats.
Would you like me to also explain “Team to be Awarded a Penalty” (which is slightly different — the team just needs to be given a penalty, not necessarily score it)?