What “Player Shots on Goal 4+ (incl. overtime)” means
- Player = A single footballer you’re betting on.
- Shots on Goal = Any attempt at goal that would go in if not for the goalkeeper or a defender making a save. (Blocked shots off-target don’t count.)
- 4+ = The player must register at least 4 shots on target (not just attempts) for your bet to win.
- Incl. overtime = If the match goes to extra time (like in a cup match), those minutes count toward the total.
So, if your selected player records 4 or more shots on target, the bet wins. If they only get 3 or fewer, the bet loses.
Team Scenario Example
Let’s use Manchester City (Premier League) as an example.
- Player: Erling Haaland (City’s main striker).
- Match: Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest.
- Market: “Haaland – 4+ shots on goal (incl. overtime)”
Suppose during the game:
- 1st half: Haaland has 2 shots on target (one saved, one goal).
- 2nd half: Another 2 shots on target.
- Extra time: 1 more shot on target.
Total shots on goal = 5.
Your bet wins, because Haaland recorded 4+ shots on target (actually 5).
If instead he only managed 3 shots on target (even if he scored 2 goals), the bet loses because it’s about shots on target count, not goals.
Difference Between Shots on Target vs Shots Attempted
- Shots on target: Saved by keeper or results in a goal.
- Shots off target: Misses the goal entirely.
- Blocked shots: Blocked before reaching the goal.
Only the first category counts for this bet.
Betting Tips for “Player Shots on Goal 4+”
Pick High-Volume Shooters
– Strikers or attacking midfielders who regularly take many shots.
– Example: Haaland, Mbappé, Lewandowski, Salah.
Check Opponent Strength
– Against weaker defenses, top strikers get more shots.
– If City plays a bottom-table team, Haaland has a better chance for 4+ shots on target.
Consider Playing Time
– The player must likely play the full 90 (or more).
– A sub or rotation risk reduces chances drastically.
Competition Format
– In knockout matches with extra time, your bet benefits because there’s more time to reach the target.
Look at Team Style
– Teams that dominate possession create more chances.
– Betting on a striker from a defensive or counter-attacking team is riskier for high shot counts.
Resent Stats
– Check the player’s last 5 games for shots on target averages. If they usually get 2 per match, a 4+ bet is high-risk.
Example Bets
| Match | Player | Market | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City vs Burnley | Haaland | 4+ shots on goal | 5 shots on goal | Win |
| Liverpool vs Luton | Salah | 4+ shots on goal | 3 shots on goal | Lose |
| PSG vs Lorient | Mbappé | 4+ shots on goal | 6 shots on goal | Win |
Risk Level
- High risk, high odds. 4+ shots on goal is rare even for elite strikers.
- Safer options: 1+ or 2+ shots on target markets (lower odds).
- 4+ is more for when you’re sure the player will dominate the game.
Would you like me to make a quick table of average shots on target per match for top strikers (Haaland, Mbappé, Salah, etc.) so you can use it as a reference for these bets?