“2 Excluded Number of Goals” in football Sports Betting – Explained with Examples + Betting Tips


What “2 Excluded Number of Goals” Means

This is a specialist goals market where you’re betting that the total number of goals scored in the match will NOT equal 2.

  • If the match ends with exactly 2 goals (1–1, 2–0, 0–2) → you lose your bet.
  • If the match ends with any number of goals other than 2 (0,1,3,4,5…) → you win your bet.

So, you are basically excluding a single number of goals from the total goals market.


Example with a Team

Let’s say the match is Chelsea vs. Brentford.
You bet on “Excluded Number of Goals: 2”.

  • Score 0–0 (0 goals): Win (because total goals ≠ 2)
  • Score 1–0 (1 goal): Win
  • Score 2–0 (2 goals):  Lose (because total goals = 2)
  • Score 1–1 (2 goals): Lose
  • Score 3–0 (3 goals):  Win
  • Score 2–2 (4 goals): Win

Basically, you’re only losing if the match produces exactly 2 goals.


Why People Use This Market

  • It gives you bigger odds than traditional Over/Under markets because you’re betting against one very specific outcome.
  • Useful if you think the match will be tight but not exactly 2 goals, or very high scoring/very low scoring.

How It Differs from “Over/Under”

  • Over 1.5 goals = Win if 2+ goals are scored.
  • Under 2.5 goals = Win if 2 goals or fewer are scored.
  • Excluded 2 goals = Win if the total goals ≠ 2 exactly.

It’s a kind of “insurance” if you think the game will not land on a specific score total.


Betting Tips

  1. Check Team Form & Head-to-Head:
    • If both teams usually score once each (many 1–1s), this market is risky.
    • If teams often produce big wins or 0–0 draws, it’s more attractive.
  2. Use it in High/Low Scoring Leagues:
    • In leagues like the Bundesliga where many games go over 3 goals, “Exclude 2 goals” is safer.
    • In leagues with defensive styles (like Serie A), be cautious.
  3. Live Betting Advantage:
    • If an early goal is scored in the first 15 minutes, the chance of exactly 2 goals becomes lower, so odds shift. That’s a good time to enter.
  4. Combine with Other Markets:
    • Some bettors combine “Exclude 2 goals” with Over 2.5 or Under 1.5 to hedge risk.

Quick Recap Table

Total Goals in MatchResult if “Excluded 2 Goals” Selected
0 goalsWin
1 goal Win
2 goals Lose
3 goals Win
4+ goals Win

Would you like me to also explain “Excluded 1 goal” and “Excluded 3 goals” (these are common too) so you see how to use them together?


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